Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$232k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
Tesla must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of the trading day on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date for the current year or assume mid-day valuations count instead of the official market close.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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