NewsMarkets

Tech

Tesla Plans To Sell Cybercabs By Year End

The company aims to deploy its gold two-seater robotaxis in additional U.S. cities while preparing sales to transport firms.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 22 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2027
0%50%100%2%15 Oct, 17:32 UTCnowTechCrunch: Tesla is prepping a Cybercab onslaught · 22 Oct, 15:44 UTCRSS 2.0: Tesla plans to start selling Cybercabs by the end of the year · 22 Oct, 08:52 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
20 Oct, 10:13 UTC2%
18 Oct, 23:43 UTC1%
18 Oct, 19:38 UTC3%
18 Oct, 09:33 UTC1%
18 Oct, 04:18 UTC3%
17 Oct, 21:32 UTC2%
17 Oct, 09:59 UTC2%
17 Oct, 05:02 UTC1%
17 Oct, 01:05 UTC2%
17 Oct, 00:17 UTC3%
16 Oct, 23:16 UTC3%
16 Oct, 20:28 UTC2%
16 Oct, 17:15 UTC3%
16 Oct, 15:31 UTC2%
16 Oct, 11:51 UTC3%
16 Oct, 01:49 UTC2%
15 Oct, 23:42 UTC12%
15 Oct, 23:22 UTC9%
15 Oct, 22:01 UTC13%
15 Oct, 20:17 UTC9%
15 Oct, 18:13 UTC13%
15 Oct, 17:32 UTC14%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. RSS 2.0 published first, on 22 October at 08:52 UTC; TechCrunch followed 6h 52m later. The most recent article, from TechCrunch, appeared on 22 October at 15:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: TechCrunch (major outlet), RSS 2.0.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 2%, with $130 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Tesla Semi truck for the relevant vehicle, but only the Roadster counts.
  • Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 0%, with $553 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Tesla must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of the trading day on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date for the current year or assume mid-day valuations count instead of the official market close.
  • Above 1.75 million — the market puts it at 94%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla reports more than 1,750,000 total vehicle deliveries during the entire year of 2026. It resolves to No if that number is 1,750,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the start of production for the delivery count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Tesla is prepping a Cybercab onslaught TechCrunch ·
  2. Tesla plans to start selling Cybercabs by the end of the year RSS 2.0

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before 2027 2% $130 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0% $553 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Above 1.75 million 94% +6 $3 24hends 31 Mar 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.