Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$33
Total volume$85k
Liquidity$85k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Tesla Semi truck for the relevant vehicle, but only the Roadster counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%