Sotomayor Sees U.S. In Rough Patch For Rule Of Law

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 8 November at 01:04 UTC; The Hill News followed 2h 45m later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 8 November at 03:49 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet).

2 prediction markets price this story:

• 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals — the market puts it at 75%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if exactly six Supreme Court justices were appointed by Republican presidents and three were appointed by Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that specific count does not exist on that date. Readers often mistake the appointment date for the confirmation date or assume current counts apply instead of the fixed deadline.
• Sonia Sotomayor — the market puts it at 7%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Sonia Sotomayor resigns or announces her intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news article for the deadline, but only actions taken before that specific date count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.