6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
Implied probability 77%+10
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 77% |
| 9 Nov, 05:30 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 74% |
| 7 Nov, 01:34 UTC | 67% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if exactly six Supreme Court justices were appointed by Republican presidents and three were appointed by Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that specific count does not exist on that date. Readers often mistake the appointment date for the confirmation date or assume current counts apply instead of the fixed deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 77%
- No 23%