Sonia Sotomayor
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 01:34 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Sonia Sotomayor resigns or announces her intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news article for the deadline, but only actions taken before that specific date count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%