Shapiro Vows Wage Hike, Abortion Rights After PA Democrats Win Trifecta
Governor Josh Shapiro pledges to raise the minimum wage and codify abortion rights as Democrats secure control of the state legislature.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 21:44 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 18:45 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 23:28 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 17:36 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 17:08 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 11:34 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 08:58 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 05:36 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 04:42 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Nov, 00:32 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Nov, 19:00 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Nov, 07:23 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Nov, 05:10 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 21:15 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 4% |
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| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 5% |
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| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 5% |
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| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 5% |
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| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 5% |
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| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
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| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 5% |
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| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 5% |
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| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 5% |
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| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 5% |
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| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 5% |
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| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 5% |
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| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 5% |
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| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 5% |
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| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 5% |
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| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 5% |
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| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 9 November at 23:23 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Josh Shapiro — the market puts it at 4%, with $32k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Josh Shapiro wins the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake his appearance on television for acceptance of a nomination.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 5%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Josh Shapiro wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases. Readers often mistake the resolution source, assuming it depends on election results rather than the formal acceptance of the nomination.
- Before Apr 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 56%, closing 1 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pennsylvania enacts a statewide minimum wage increase before April 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such law passes by that date. Readers often mistake the news headline for proof of enactment rather than waiting for the actual law to pass.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Josh Shapiro · 2028 Democratic presidential nominee 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before Apr 1, 2027 56%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Josh Shapiro
- Pennsylvania