Josh Shapiro
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$129k
Total volume$6.6M
Liquidity$6.6M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 10:06 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Josh Shapiro wins the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake his appearance on television for acceptance of a nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%