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Democrats Flip Multiple House Seats in Utah, Nebraska, Virginia, Indiana, New Jersey and Pennsylvania Hot: Odds moved 70 points in 24 hours

Democratic candidates are projected to win congressional races in Utah, Nebraska, Virginia, Indiana, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, marking significant gains for the party.

7 publishers · 40 articles · first seen 4 Nov 2026 · updated 20m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by The Hill, 1h 11m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat?
0%50%100%4%3 Nov, 00:00 UTCnowThe Hill: Former House Democrat wins Utah election to return to Capitol Hill · 4 Nov, 03:04 UTCThe Hill: Gonzalez defends battleground House seat in Texas · 4 Nov, 03:04 UTCThe Hill: Democrats flip Nebraska's 'blue dot' 2nd District · 4 Nov, 02:56 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Powell Wins Nebraska House Race, DDHQ Projects · 4 Nov, 02:55 UTCThe Hill: Luria defeats Kiggans in rematch for Virginia House seat · 4 Nov, 02:54 UTCThe Hill: Democrat J.D. Ford beats Spartz in major upset for Indiana House seat · 4 Nov, 02:52 UTCThe Hill: Bennett ousts Kean Jr. in battleground New Jersey House race · 4 Nov, 02:50 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Rutinel Wins Colorado House Race, NBC Projects · 4 Nov, 02:46 UTCThe Hill: Democrat Bob Brooks flips Pennsylvania House seat · 4 Nov, 02:37 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Brooks Wins Pennsylvania House Race, DDHQ Projects · 4 Nov, 02:35 UTCThe Hill: South Carolina’s Climer wins election to succeed Norman in House · 4 Nov, 02:34 UTCThe Hill: Landsman fends off GOP challenge in purple Ohio House district · 4 Nov, 02:33 UTCThe Hill: Gaines set to succeed Georgia’s Collins in House · 4 Nov, 02:29 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Gonzalez Wins Texas House Race, NBC Projects · 4 Nov, 02:25 UTCThe Hill: Cowan clinches Georgia House seat held by retiring Loudermilk · 4 Nov, 02:22 UTCThe Hill: Jackley wins election for South Dakota’s sole House seat · 4 Nov, 02:19 UTCThe Hill: Democrat Zach Dembo projected to flip Kentucky House seat · 4 Nov, 02:14 UTCNPR Politics: Republican Byron Donalds wins governor's race in Florida · 4 Nov, 02:10 UTCThe Guardian US: Trump-endorsed Republican Byron Donalds wins Florida race for governor · 4 Nov, 02:10 UTCThe Hill: Democrat Paige Cognetti defeats Bresnahan, flipping key House seat · 4 Nov, 02:08 UTCThe Hill: Austin Rogers wins House race to succeed retiring Dunn in Florida · 4 Nov, 02:07 UTCThe Hill: Lasher wins retiring Nadler's open New York House seat · 4 Nov, 02:06 UTCThe Hill: Democratic socialist wins Espaillat's House seat in New York · 4 Nov, 02:05 UTCThe Hill: Lander wins open House seat after successful primary challenge · 4 Nov, 02:05 UTCThe Hill: Jeffries wins reelection in New York as he eyes Speakership · 4 Nov, 02:05 UTCThe Hill: Mamdani-backed Democrat Claire Valdez wins New York House seat · 4 Nov, 02:04 UTCThe Hill: Kiros wins Colorado House seat after ousting DeGette in primary · 4 Nov, 02:02 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Lasher Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects · 4 Nov, 02:01 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Lander Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects · 4 Nov, 02:00 UTCThe Hill: Democrat Ager flips Edwards's North Carolina House seat · 4 Nov, 01:34 UTCBloomberg.com: Democrat Ager Wins North Carolina House Race, DDHQ Projects · 4 Nov, 01:31 UTCThe Hill: Byron Donalds wins Florida governor’s race · 4 Nov, 01:30 UTCThe Hill: Hamawy wins open New Jersey House seat, succeeding Watson Coleman · 4 Nov, 01:15 UTCThe Hill: Democrat Pia Dandiya wins Florida's 22nd Congressional District · 4 Nov, 01:11 UTCThe Hill: Republican Sydney Gruters wins Florida's 16th Congressional District · 4 Nov, 00:57 UTCThe Hill: Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins Florida House seat · 4 Nov, 00:24 UTCThe Hill: Schwartzel wins Florida House seat vacated by Donalds · 4 Nov, 00:19 UTCTimes of India: US midterms: Indian-origin Pia Dandiya wins Florida House race · 4 Nov, 02:21 UTCFox News Politics: Mamdani-backed socialist wins NYC House seat as DSA expands its reach in Congress · 4 Nov, 02:09 UTCMother Jones: Democrats Flip Seat in Deep-Red Western North Carolina · 4 Nov, 01:59 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC4%
4 Nov, 02:49 UTC4%
4 Nov, 01:42 UTC4%
4 Nov, 01:05 UTC4%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC4%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 00:00 UTC1%

The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 40 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 00:19 UTC; Bloomberg.com followed 1h 11m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 4 November at 03:04 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), Mother Jones, Fox News Politics, Times of India.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat? — the market puts it at 4%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves Yes if a Democrat wins the IN-02 House seat in the 2026 midterm election, and No otherwise. The winner is determined by their party affiliation at the time the election is conclusively called based on credible reporting or official Federal Election Commission results.
  • Democratic Party — the market puts it at 93%, with $347 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins control of the Texas House of Representatives in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not win control. Readers often mistake the linked story about Florida and midterms for the relevant event, but only the 2026 Texas House results matter.
  • Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? — the market puts it at 1%, with $23k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the winner of Florida's 7th congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections is affiliated with the Democratic Party. The No outcome applies if that winner belongs to the Republican Party or any other party.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The HillSchwartzel wins Florida House seat vacated by Donalds1%
  2. The HillRep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins Florida House seat1%
  3. The HillRepublican Sydney Gruters wins Florida's 16th Congressional District3%▲2 points since the previous source
  4. The HillDemocrat Pia Dandiya wins Florida's 22nd Congressional District4%▲1 points since the previous source
  5. The HillHamawy wins open New Jersey House seat, succeeding Watson Coleman4%
  6. The HillByron Donalds wins Florida governor’s race4%
  7. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Ager Wins North Carolina House Race, DDHQ Projects4%
  8. The HillDemocrat Ager flips Edwards's North Carolina House seat4%
  9. Mother JonesDemocrats Flip Seat in Deep-Red Western North Carolina4%
  10. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Lander Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects4%
  11. Show 30 later sources
    1. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Lasher Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects4%
    2. The HillKiros wins Colorado House seat after ousting DeGette in primary4%
    3. The HillMamdani-backed Democrat Claire Valdez wins New York House seat4%
    4. The HillJeffries wins reelection in New York as he eyes Speakership4%
    5. The HillLander wins open House seat after successful primary challenge4%
    6. The HillDemocratic socialist wins Espaillat's House seat in New York4%
    7. The HillLasher wins retiring Nadler's open New York House seat4%
    8. The HillAustin Rogers wins House race to succeed retiring Dunn in Florida4%
    9. The HillDemocrat Paige Cognetti defeats Bresnahan, flipping key House seat4%
    10. Fox News PoliticsMamdani-backed socialist wins NYC House seat as DSA expands its reach in Congress4%
    11. The Guardian USTrump-endorsed Republican Byron Donalds wins Florida race for governor4%
    12. NPR PoliticsRepublican Byron Donalds wins governor's race in Florida4%
    13. The HillDemocrat Zach Dembo projected to flip Kentucky House seat4%
    14. The HillJackley wins election for South Dakota’s sole House seat4%
    15. Times of IndiaUS midterms: Indian-origin Pia Dandiya wins Florida House race4%
    16. The HillCowan clinches Georgia House seat held by retiring Loudermilk4%
    17. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Gonzalez Wins Texas House Race, NBC Projects4%
    18. The HillGaines set to succeed Georgia’s Collins in House4%
    19. The HillLandsman fends off GOP challenge in purple Ohio House district4%
    20. The HillSouth Carolina’s Climer wins election to succeed Norman in House4%
    21. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Brooks Wins Pennsylvania House Race, DDHQ Projects4%
    22. The HillDemocrat Bob Brooks flips Pennsylvania House seat4%
    23. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Rutinel Wins Colorado House Race, NBC Projects4%
    24. The HillBennett ousts Kean Jr. in battleground New Jersey House race4%
    25. The HillDemocrat J.D. Ford beats Spartz in major upset for Indiana House seat4%
    26. The HillLuria defeats Kiggans in rematch for Virginia House seat4%
    27. Bloomberg.comDemocrat Powell Wins Nebraska House Race, DDHQ Projects4%
    28. The HillDemocrats flip Nebraska's 'blue dot' 2nd District4%
    29. The HillGonzalez defends battleground House seat in Texas4%
    30. The HillFormer House Democrat wins Utah election to return to Capitol Hill4%
  12. Current odds4%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Former House Democrat wins Utah election to return to Capitol Hill The Hill ·
  2. Gonzalez defends battleground House seat in Texas The Hill ·
  3. Democrats flip Nebraska's 'blue dot' 2nd District The Hill ·
  4. Democrat Powell Wins Nebraska House Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  5. Luria defeats Kiggans in rematch for Virginia House seat The Hill ·
  6. Democrat J.D. Ford beats Spartz in major upset for Indiana House seat The Hill ·
Show 34 more sources
  1. Bennett ousts Kean Jr. in battleground New Jersey House race The Hill ·
  2. Democrat Rutinel Wins Colorado House Race, NBC Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  3. Democrat Bob Brooks flips Pennsylvania House seat The Hill ·
  4. Democrat Brooks Wins Pennsylvania House Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  5. South Carolina’s Climer wins election to succeed Norman in House The Hill ·
  6. Landsman fends off GOP challenge in purple Ohio House district The Hill ·
  7. Gaines set to succeed Georgia’s Collins in House The Hill ·
  8. Democrat Gonzalez Wins Texas House Race, NBC Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  9. Cowan clinches Georgia House seat held by retiring Loudermilk The Hill ·
  10. Jackley wins election for South Dakota’s sole House seat The Hill ·
  11. Democrat Zach Dembo projected to flip Kentucky House seat The Hill ·
  12. Republican Byron Donalds wins governor's race in Florida NPR Politics ·
  13. Trump-endorsed Republican Byron Donalds wins Florida race for governor The Guardian US ·
  14. Democrat Paige Cognetti defeats Bresnahan, flipping key House seat The Hill ·
  15. Austin Rogers wins House race to succeed retiring Dunn in Florida The Hill ·
  16. Lasher wins retiring Nadler's open New York House seat The Hill ·
  17. Democratic socialist wins Espaillat's House seat in New York The Hill ·
  18. Lander wins open House seat after successful primary challenge The Hill ·
  19. Jeffries wins reelection in New York as he eyes Speakership The Hill ·
  20. Mamdani-backed Democrat Claire Valdez wins New York House seat The Hill ·
  21. Kiros wins Colorado House seat after ousting DeGette in primary The Hill ·
  22. Democrat Lasher Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  23. Democrat Lander Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  24. Democrat Ager flips Edwards's North Carolina House seat The Hill ·
  25. Democrat Ager Wins North Carolina House Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
  26. Byron Donalds wins Florida governor’s race The Hill ·
  27. Hamawy wins open New Jersey House seat, succeeding Watson Coleman The Hill ·
  28. Democrat Pia Dandiya wins Florida's 22nd Congressional District The Hill ·
  29. Republican Sydney Gruters wins Florida's 16th Congressional District The Hill ·
  30. Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins Florida House seat The Hill ·
  31. Schwartzel wins Florida House seat vacated by Donalds The Hill ·
  32. US midterms: Indian-origin Pia Dandiya wins Florida House race Times of India
  33. Mamdani-backed socialist wins NYC House seat as DSA expands its reach in Congress Fox News Politics
  34. Democrats Flip Seat in Deep-Red Western North Carolina Mother Jones

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat? 4% +3 $5k 24hends 4 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Democratic Party 93% +70 $347 24hends 26 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? 1% −36 $23k 24hends 4 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Ben McAdams
  • Denise Powell
  • Elaine Luria
  • J.D. Ford
  • Rebecca Bennett
  • Bob Brooks
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