Australia's 2018 ball-tampering scandal overshadows South Africa series victory Hot: Odds moved 25 points in 24 hours

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 5 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 5 October at 14:00 UTC; SkySports followed 63h 26m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 8 October at 05:26 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will South Africa win? — the market puts it at 46%, with $927 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 16 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if South Africa wins the scheduled Test match against Australia on October 9, 2026. It resolves to No if Australia wins or if the match ends in a draw. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the 2018 scandal for the actual event date.
• Draw/Tie — the market puts it at 14%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 16 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the South Africa vs Australia Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the start date of the first match for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves only after the entire series concludes.
• South Australia Redbacks — the market puts it at 80%, with $18k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the South Australia Redbacks win their Sheffield Shield cricket match against Victoria. The result depends on the official outcome of that specific game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Readers often mistake this for a bet on the upcoming Test series between South Africa and Australia.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.