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Draw/Tie

Implied probability 12%+12
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves16 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +12 points at 21:37 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: South Africa host Australia who battle more than ‘Sandpapergate’ memories — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Draw/Tie
0%50%100%12%6 Oct, 21:27 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
7 Oct, 21:37 UTC12%
6 Oct, 21:27 UTC0%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the South Africa vs Australia Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the start date of the first match for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves only after the entire series concludes.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 12%
  • No 88%

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