Steve Smith Breaks Test Fielding Record as Australia Dominate South Africa Hot: $204k traded on its market in 24 hours

Smith catches David Bedingham off Pat Cummins to reach 223 career dismissals, surpassing the previous record held by James Root.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 11 Oct 2026 · updated 16h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Will South Africa win?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	2%
12 Oct, 23:21 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 22:54 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 21:11 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 20:03 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 19:27 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 18:54 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 18:16 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 17:49 UTC	2%
12 Oct, 15:27 UTC	1%
12 Oct, 14:48 UTC	5%
12 Oct, 14:27 UTC	6%
12 Oct, 13:55 UTC	6%
12 Oct, 13:29 UTC	4%
12 Oct, 12:56 UTC	5%
12 Oct, 12:24 UTC	4%
12 Oct, 11:58 UTC	4%
12 Oct, 11:13 UTC	5%
12 Oct, 10:53 UTC	5%
12 Oct, 09:53 UTC	8%
12 Oct, 09:27 UTC	9%
12 Oct, 08:40 UTC	10%
12 Oct, 08:27 UTC	13%
12 Oct, 07:53 UTC	12%
12 Oct, 07:16 UTC	13%
12 Oct, 06:51 UTC	12%
12 Oct, 05:43 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 04:54 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 04:16 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 03:44 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 03:25 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 02:59 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 02:28 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 01:56 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 00:53 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 00:21 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 23:05 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 22:58 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 21:43 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 21:06 UTC	15%
11 Oct, 20:27 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 19:52 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 18:17 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 17:39 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 16:06 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 15:40 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 14:42 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 14:29 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 13:51 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 12:55 UTC	10%
11 Oct, 12:22 UTC	10%
11 Oct, 11:20 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 10:48 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 10:27 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 09:52 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 09:27 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 08:50 UTC	22%
11 Oct, 08:25 UTC	26%
11 Oct, 07:54 UTC	19%
11 Oct, 07:26 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 06:37 UTC	19%
11 Oct, 06:20 UTC	18%
11 Oct, 05:00 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 04:47 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 03:19 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 02:54 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 01:46 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 01:10 UTC	17%
11 Oct, 00:20 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 23:49 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 23:04 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 22:07 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 21:06 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 20:47 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 20:03 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 19:56 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 18:27 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 17:15 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 16:41 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 16:22 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 15:48 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 15:28 UTC	17%
10 Oct, 14:48 UTC	20%
10 Oct, 14:27 UTC	19%
10 Oct, 13:52 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 13:28 UTC	14%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC	20%
10 Oct, 12:21 UTC	20%
10 Oct, 11:54 UTC	25%
10 Oct, 11:18 UTC	30%
10 Oct, 10:58 UTC	34%
10 Oct, 10:24 UTC	37%
10 Oct, 09:48 UTC	39%
10 Oct, 09:28 UTC	45%
10 Oct, 08:50 UTC	50%
10 Oct, 08:24 UTC	50%
10 Oct, 07:57 UTC	50%
10 Oct, 07:04 UTC	52%
10 Oct, 06:57 UTC	52%
10 Oct, 06:26 UTC	53%
10 Oct, 05:59 UTC	52%
10 Oct, 03:40 UTC	52%
10 Oct, 02:19 UTC	52%
10 Oct, 01:20 UTC	52%
9 Oct, 22:45 UTC	52%
9 Oct, 21:30 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 21:16 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 19:44 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 19:03 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 18:42 UTC	52%
9 Oct, 18:20 UTC	52%
9 Oct, 17:32 UTC	54%
9 Oct, 14:31 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 14:09 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 13:52 UTC	54%
9 Oct, 13:28 UTC	55%
9 Oct, 12:52 UTC	61%
9 Oct, 12:24 UTC	61%
9 Oct, 11:55 UTC	64%
9 Oct, 11:29 UTC	55%
9 Oct, 10:54 UTC	60%
9 Oct, 10:15 UTC	53%
9 Oct, 09:48 UTC	50%
9 Oct, 09:27 UTC	46%
9 Oct, 08:48 UTC	54%
9 Oct, 08:28 UTC	56%
9 Oct, 07:49 UTC	44%
9 Oct, 07:29 UTC	42%
9 Oct, 02:48 UTC	47%
9 Oct, 00:16 UTC	46%
8 Oct, 23:42 UTC	46%
8 Oct, 20:41 UTC	47%
8 Oct, 18:11 UTC	46%
8 Oct, 16:30 UTC	47%
8 Oct, 16:22 UTC	46%
8 Oct, 13:43 UTC	47%
8 Oct, 05:30 UTC	46%
7 Oct, 05:30 UTC	45%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 11 October at 11:20 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 20h 58m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 12 October at 08:17 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.

2 prediction markets price this story:

Will South Africa win? — the market puts it at 2%, with $57k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 16 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if South Africa wins the scheduled Test match against Australia on October 9, 2026. It resolves to No if Australia wins or if the match ends in a draw. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the 2018 scandal for the actual event date.
Draw/Tie — the market puts it at 15%, with $204k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 16 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the South Africa vs Australia Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the start date of the first match for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves only after the entire series concludes.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Markets on this story

Polymarket Will South Africa win? 2% −12 $57k 24hends 16 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Draw/Tie 15% −19 $204k 24hends 16 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Steve Smith
Australia
South Africa
David Bedingham
Pat Cummins

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