South Australia Redbacks
Implied probability 34%−31
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 34% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 45% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 55% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 21:28 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the South Australia Redbacks win their Sheffield Shield cricket match against Victoria. The result depends on the official outcome of that specific game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Readers often mistake this for a bet on the upcoming Test series between South Africa and Australia.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%