Rhode Island’s Jack Reed Clinches Sixth Senate Term
The Democratic senator defeated Republican Raymond McKay to secure the seat he has held since 1997.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 3 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 80% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 01:05 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Reed, 25+ pts — the market puts it at 80%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island by a margin of at least 25 percentage points. The outcome is No if that specific victory margin does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Jack Reed’s current term for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the 2026 election results.
- Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a non-Democrat wins or if no candidate is declared the winner. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jack Reed for the resolution, but this market depends on the 2026 election results called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- Rhode Island — the market puts it at 1%, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Rhode Island has the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among all states that elect a Republican in the 2026 U.S. Senate election. It resolves to No if another state meets that criteria or if no Republican wins a Senate seat in any state.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Reed, 25+ pts 80%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? Yes 3h ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Rhode Island 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jack Reed
- Raymond McKay
- Rhode Island