NewsMarkets

Politics

Rhode Island’s Jack Reed Clinches Sixth Senate Term

The Democratic senator defeated Republican Raymond McKay to secure the seat he has held since 1997.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 4 Nov 2026 · updated 8h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Reed, 25+ pts
0%50%100%80%3 Nov, 00:46 UTCnowThe Hill: Rhode Island’s Reed clinches sixth term in Senate · 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now80%
3 Nov, 00:46 UTC80%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 01:05 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Reed, 25+ pts — the market puts it at 80%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island by a margin of at least 25 percentage points. The outcome is No if that specific victory margin does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Jack Reed’s current term for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the 2026 election results.
  • Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a non-Democrat wins or if no candidate is declared the winner. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jack Reed for the resolution, but this market depends on the 2026 election results called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
  • Rhode Island — the market puts it at 1%, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Rhode Island has the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among all states that elect a Republican in the 2026 U.S. Senate election. It resolves to No if another state meets that criteria or if no Republican wins a Senate seat in any state.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Rhode Island’s Reed clinches sixth term in Senate The Hill ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Reed, 25+ pts 80% $0 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? Yes 3h ago

    The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Rhode Island 1% $0 24hends 3 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Jack Reed
  • Raymond McKay
  • Rhode Island
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.