Rhode Island
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 16:30 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Rhode Island has the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among all states that elect a Republican in the 2026 U.S. Senate election. It resolves to No if another state meets that criteria or if no Republican wins a Senate seat in any state.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%