Reed, 25+ pts
Implied probability 99%+19
24-hour volume$18
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island by a margin of at least 25 percentage points. The outcome is No if that specific victory margin does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Jack Reed’s current term for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the 2026 election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%