Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Hopes Ride on Showdown vs No. 1 Miami Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours
The Fighting Irish must defeat the top-ranked Hurricanes to maintain their playoff position after receiving a warning from the selection committee.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 04:03 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 09:08 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 55% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 60% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Notre Dame respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 2 Nov 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 November at 16:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 50h 48m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 4 November at 19:08 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Notre Dame — the market puts it at 69%, with $155 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame is selected as a top four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake current rankings or playoff projections for the final selection.
- Notre Dame — the market puts it at 5%, with $473 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. Notre Dame must be chosen as the number one seed for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other ranking or selection results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake general playoff expansion news for this specific seeding requirement.
- Notre Dame — the market puts it at 45%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they do not reach that stage. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current playoff hopes as the resolution criteria, but only official qualification in the specified future season counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Notre Dame at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedGreg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot68%
- SI FeedGreg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate68%
- SI FeedRece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown67%▼1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedNotre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee67%
- SI FeedNotre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee66%▼1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedKirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking66%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami69%▲3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedThe CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor69%
- Current odds69%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- The CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor SI Feed
- CJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami CBS Sports Headlines
- Kirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking SI Feed
- Notre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
- Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
- Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown SI Feed
- Greg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate SI Feed
- Greg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Notre Dame 69% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Notre Dame 5% −10
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Notre Dame 45%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Notre Dame
- Miami
- CJ Carr
- Kirk Herbstreit
- Rece Davis
- Greg McElroy