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Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Hopes Ride on Showdown vs No. 1 Miami Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours

The Fighting Irish must defeat the top-ranked Hurricanes to maintain their playoff position after receiving a warning from the selection committee.

2 publishers · 8 articles · first seen 2 Nov 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Notre Dame
0%50%100%69%29 Oct, 01:45 UTCnowSI Feed: The CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor · 4 Nov, 19:08 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: CJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami · 4 Nov, 18:48 UTCSI Feed: Kirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking · 4 Nov, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee · 4 Nov, 06:34 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee · 4 Nov, 03:48 UTCSI Feed: Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown · 3 Nov, 14:13 UTCSI Feed: Greg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate · 2 Nov, 19:30 UTCSI Feed: Greg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot · 2 Nov, 16:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now69%
4 Nov, 12:54 UTC69%
4 Nov, 04:03 UTC66%
3 Nov, 00:48 UTC67%
1 Nov, 15:31 UTC68%
1 Nov, 09:08 UTC67%
1 Nov, 07:45 UTC66%
1 Nov, 06:57 UTC74%
1 Nov, 01:17 UTC63%
31 Oct, 15:30 UTC55%
31 Oct, 01:25 UTC54%
29 Oct, 01:45 UTC60%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 2 Nov 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 November at 16:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 50h 48m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 4 November at 19:08 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 69%, with $155 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame is selected as a top four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake current rankings or playoff projections for the final selection.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 5%, with $473 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. Notre Dame must be chosen as the number one seed for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other ranking or selection results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake general playoff expansion news for this specific seeding requirement.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 45%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they do not reach that stage. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current playoff hopes as the resolution criteria, but only official qualification in the specified future season counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. The CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor SI Feed
  2. CJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami CBS Sports Headlines
  3. Kirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking SI Feed
  4. Notre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
  5. Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
  6. Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown SI Feed
  7. Greg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate SI Feed
  8. Greg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 69% +2 $155 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 5% −10 $473 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 45% $0 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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