Notre Dame
Why it moved: −8 points at 00:22 UTC, after SI Feed: Where Alabama Landed in First 2026 College Football Playoff Ranking — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 00:36 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 05:12 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 20:44 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 02:30 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 15% |
| 31 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 15% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Notre Dame must be chosen as the number one seed for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other ranking or selection results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake general playoff expansion news for this specific seeding requirement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%