UCF Upsets No. 2 BYU in Double Overtime, Shaking Big 12 Title Race

Unranked UCF defeats No. 2 BYU 39-31 in double overtime, leaving the Big 12 without a clear leader as Utah emerges as the conference's top contender.

4 publishers · 118 articles · first seen 10 Sept 2026 · updated 4h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · 10+ wins

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 99 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	63%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC	63%
26 Oct, 04:50 UTC	67%
26 Oct, 03:41 UTC	61%
25 Oct, 22:45 UTC	39%
25 Oct, 20:26 UTC	72%
25 Oct, 19:11 UTC	73%
25 Oct, 16:28 UTC	64%
25 Oct, 04:36 UTC	66%
25 Oct, 04:12 UTC	65%
25 Oct, 03:23 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 02:00 UTC	74%
25 Oct, 00:50 UTC	82%
25 Oct, 00:14 UTC	76%
24 Oct, 22:51 UTC	75%
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC	83%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC	86%
23 Oct, 11:34 UTC	84%
23 Oct, 04:17 UTC	80%
22 Oct, 23:27 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 19:37 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 15:08 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 14:31 UTC	84%
22 Oct, 10:53 UTC	85%
21 Oct, 23:21 UTC	84%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 118 articles since 10 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 10 September at 20:39 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 39h 51m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 27 October at 17:21 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.

3 prediction markets price this story:

10+ wins — the market puts it at 63%, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the BYU college football team achieves at least 10 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than 10 wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
BYU — the market puts it at 8%, with $482 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if BYU reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake reaching the playoff semifinals as sufficient for a Yes outcome.
BYU — the market puts it at 1%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if BYU is selected as the number one seed for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a regular-season win or ranking for selection as the top playoff seed.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 10+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

10 Sept, 20:39SI Feed What Brent Brennan said about Arizona's matchup with No. 15 BYU—
10 Sept, 21:46SI Feed Point spread, betting odds for Arizona vs. No. 15 BYU in Big 12 season opener—
10 Sept, 22:03SI Feed BYU Football on Verge of Sold-Out Crowd for High-Stakes Arizona Matchup—
11 Sept, 03:30SI Feed Arizona vs. BYU: 3 things that could decide Saturday's game—
11 Sept, 19:30SI Feed How to watch Arizona vs. No. 15 BYU: Kickoff time, TV channel and more—
11 Sept, 21:30SI Feed The 5 Games That Could Impact BYU's Ranking This Weekend—
12 Sept, 00:43SI Feed Arizona vs. BYU: 5 things to watch for in Saturday's Big 12 opener—
12 Sept, 12:30CBS Sports Headlines Arizona vs. BYU odds, picks, predictions: Betting preview, start time for Week 2 college football matchup—
12 Sept, 13:00SI Feed No 15 BYU vs Arizona Score Prediction and Big 12 Stakes—
12 Sept, 16:33SI Feed College GameDay Picks for No. 15 BYU vs Arizona—
Show 108 later sources
1. 12 Sept, 18:30CBS Sports Headlines Arizona vs. BYU betting preview: Odds, picks, predictions, kickoff time for Week 2 college football—
2. 12 Sept, 23:14SI Feed 4 takeaways from Arizona's heartbreaking 28-17 loss at BYU in Week 2—
3. 13 Sept, 00:10SI Feed How No. 15 BYU Flipped The Game in the Second Half and Ran Away From Arizona—
4. 13 Sept, 00:42SI Feed What Brent Brennan said after Arizona's 28-17 road loss to BYU—
5. 13 Sept, 01:19SI Feed New Playmakers Are Emerging For the BYU Football Program—
6. 13 Sept, 04:24SI Feed How a Weekend of College Football Chaos Works to No. 15 BYU’s Advantage—
7. 13 Sept, 13:15SI Feed The 10 Highest-Graded Players From BYU's Critical Win Over Arizona—
8. 13 Sept, 15:00SI Feed FPI Predicts BYU at Colorado State, Increases BYU's Conference Title Odds—
9. 13 Sept, 18:11SI Feed BYU Makes a Jump Up the AP Poll After Win Over Arizona—
10. 14 Sept, 13:30SI Feed BYU Snap Count Analysis: Biggest Winners, Losers and Role Changes From Week 2—
11. 14 Sept, 18:52SI Feed Arizona could face ACC powerhouse in latest bowl projection—
12. 14 Sept, 19:29SI Feed Arizona's breakout receiver will miss time after suffering injury at BYU—
13. 14 Sept, 22:21SI Feed Arizona's wide receivers have a big opportunity after Gio Richardson injury—
14. 15 Sept, 21:38SI Feed Mother of Arizona QB Praises BYU's 'Electric' Game Day Environment—
15. 15 Sept, 23:17SI Feed Big 12 Power Rankings: BYU No. 1, Arizona State Still Has Work to Do—
16. 16 Sept, 18:00SI Feed Metrics Update: Did Taking a Knee Inside the 5 Really Hurt BYU's Eye Test?—
17. 17 Sept, 13:44SI Feed 7 Games That Will Impact No. 11 BYU's Ranking in Week 3—
18. 17 Sept, 17:14SI Feed Arizona vs. Northern Illinois odds, spread and betting lines for Week 3—
19. 17 Sept, 18:00SI Feed 3 Key Stats Giving No. 11 BYU the Edge Against Colorado State—
20. 17 Sept, 21:15CBS Sports Headlines BYU vs. Colorado State prediction, pick, odds, spread: No. 11 Cougars set to face tough road test against Rams—
21. 19 Sept, 15:24SI Feed Score Prediction for No. 11 BYU at Colorado State—
22. 20 Sept, 04:14SI Feed The Good and the Bad From BYU's Dominant Win Over Colorado State—
23. 20 Sept, 17:44SI Feed Three Weeks In, Analytics Rank BYU Among a Trio of Big 12 Contenders—
24. 20 Sept, 18:09SI Feed BYU Football Cracks the Top 10 in the Latest AP Poll—
25. 21 Sept, 14:00SI Feed What We've Learned About BYU Football Through 3 Games—
26. 21 Sept, 17:41SI Feed Kickoff Time, Broadcast Plans Announced for No. 9 BYU at TCU—
27. 21 Sept, 21:00SI Feed Kelly Poppinga Outlines His Top Two Priorities for BYU's Defense During Bye Week—
28. 22 Sept, 13:30SI Feed Why BYU's Advanced Metrics Point to an Offensive Breakthrough in 2026—
29. 23 Sept, 13:38SI Feed After Seeing BYU Up Close, Adam Breneman Believes BYU is Best in the Big 12—
30. 23 Sept, 15:00SI Feed Bowl Projections for BYU Football After 3-0 Start—
31. 24 Sept, 17:00SI Feed 10 Games That Impact BYU the Most During the Bye Week—
32. 25 Sept, 15:49SI Feed BYU Football Opens as a Favorite Against TCU—
33. 25 Sept, 22:30SI Feed The BYU Rooting Guide for the Bye Week—
34. 27 Sept, 13:00SI Feed What We Learned About BYU and the Big 12 During the Weekend Off—
35. 27 Sept, 21:00SI Feed FPI BYU at TCU, Updates Projected Win Total After Bye Week—
36. 29 Sept, 13:30SI Feed BYU a Strong Candidate to Host College GameDay for Notre Dame Clash—
37. 29 Sept, 19:11SI Feed 5 Takeaways From BYU’s Snap Count Distribution—
38. 30 Sept, 13:00SI Feed BYU Scouting Report What TCU Needs to Know About the Cougars—
39. 30 Sept, 13:30SI Feed 3 Key Metrics That Give BYU the Edge Against TCU—
40. 30 Sept, 22:00SI Feed TCU Football’s Early Struggles Raise a Bigger Question—
41. 1 Oct, 17:00SI Feed BYU Rooting Guide: Key Week 5 Games for Big 12 and Playoff Stakes—
42. 1 Oct, 23:13SI Feed TCU Has Reached DEFCON 1 Against No. 10 BYU—
43. 1 Oct, 23:15SI Feed No. 10 BYU vs. TCU: What the Advanced Analytics Predict for Saturday—
44. 2 Oct, 15:53SI Feed 3 Areas Where BYU Football Has Grown the Most in 2026—
45. 2 Oct, 22:00SI Feed TCU Seeks Season-Defining Upset Over No. 10 BYU—
46. 2 Oct, 22:47SI Feed Nick Saban Names BYU the Most Impressive Team in the Big 12—
47. 3 Oct, 14:15SI Feed Score Prediction for No. 10 BYU at TCU—
48. 3 Oct, 16:29SI Feed College GameDay Picks for No. 10 BYU at TCU—
49. 4 Oct, 02:17SI Feed 3 Takeaways and Post-Game Thoughts After the TCU Loss to BYU—
50. 4 Oct, 03:03SI Feed 5 Overreactions to BYU's Gritty Road Win Over TCU—
51. 4 Oct, 04:52SI Feed 5 Stats That Show Just How Ugly BYU’s Win Over TCU Was—
52. 4 Oct, 13:42SI Feed TCU Football Keeps Coming Back to the Same Word—
53. 4 Oct, 15:30SI Feed 5 Things We Learned From BYU's PFF Grades Against TCU—
54. 4 Oct, 16:15SI Feed Through the Facemask TCU’s Defensive Numbers Hide a Bigger Question—
55. 4 Oct, 20:00SI Feed Five Takeaways As No. 10 BYU Wins a "Sweet Spirit" Game versus TCU—
56. 5 Oct, 12:00SI Feed TCU Football Report Card After Another Missed Opportunity Against BYU—
57. 5 Oct, 17:02SI Feed BYU vs Notre Dame Lands Prime Time TV Slot Ahead of Potential Top 10 Showdown—
58. 6 Oct, 13:30SI Feed BYU's Stalled Drives Against TCU Had Three Things in Common—
59. 7 Oct, 14:18SI Feed 3 Stats That Give No. 8 BYU the Edge Over Iowa State—
60. 7 Oct, 17:30SI Feed What Matchup Predictors Say About No. 8 BYU vs Iowa State—
61. 7 Oct, 18:30SI Feed Iowa State Football Will Catch a Huge Break With BYU Injuries—
62. 8 Oct, 15:04SI Feed Which National Games Matter Most to BYU This Weekend—
63. 8 Oct, 16:51CBS Sports Headlines Iowa State vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football Friday picks from proven model—
64. 9 Oct, 12:20CBS Sports Headlines Iowa State vs. BYU odds, picks, predictions, best bets, start time for Week 6 college football Friday—
65. 9 Oct, 15:09CBS Sports Headlines Iowa State vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football Friday picks from proven model—
66. 9 Oct, 19:42SI Feed Iowa State vs. BYU Game Preview and Final Score Prediction—
67. 10 Oct, 00:01CBS Sports Headlines Iowa State vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football Friday picks from proven model—
68. 10 Oct, 15:42SI Feed Beyond the Box Score: Grades, Advanced Metrics, and Snap Counts From BYU’s Win—
69. 10 Oct, 19:30SI Feed The Costly Mistakes BYU Must Fix Before Facing Notre Dame—
70. 11 Oct, 13:41SI Feed 5 Takeaways From No. 8 BYU's Win Over Iowa State—
71. 11 Oct, 21:10SI Feed ESPN FPI Predicts BYU vs. Notre Dame Top 10 Showdown, Updates BYU Win Total—
72. 12 Oct, 00:10SI Feed UCF Opponent Review: How BYU's Win Over Iowa State Shows Knights Fans What To Watch For Against Cougars—
73. 12 Oct, 13:00SI Feed What Saturday’s Big 12 Games Mean for TCU Before Baylor—
74. 13 Oct, 18:59CBS Sports Headlines BYU is playing for a nice resume boost on Saturday, Notre Dame is fighting for its CFP life—
75. 14 Oct, 20:26SI Feed Notre Dame, BYU and the Downfall of ESPN’s College GameDay—
76. 15 Oct, 18:02SI Feed Everything You Need to Know for College GameDay in Provo Ahead of BYU vs. Notre Dame—
77. 17 Oct, 16:22SI Feed Five Takeaways from BYU's 72-61 Exhibition Win Over Nebraska—
78. 17 Oct, 17:05SI Feed Steve Young and College GameDay Make Their Picks for No 8 BYU vs No 2 Notre Dame—
79. 18 Oct, 03:55SI Feed Miami, Ohio State or BYU: Making the Case for New No. 1 Ranked Team After Wild Week 7—
80. 18 Oct, 03:56CBS Sports Headlines Tomorrow's Top 25 Today: BYU to No. 1? Cougars make strong case after milestone win over Notre Dame—
81. 18 Oct, 13:36CBS Sports Headlines College football winners, losers in Week 7: BYU is the toast of historic weekend, Texas has a Sark problem—
82. 18 Oct, 18:24SI Feed BYU Skyrockets in AP Poll, Earns First-Place Votes After Upsetting Notre Dame—
83. 18 Oct, 20:10SI Feed College Football Playoff and Bowl Projections After Week 7: Title Game Rematch on Tap—
84. 18 Oct, 21:46SI Feed Pat Forde: College Football Playoff Projected Bracket After Week 7—
85. 18 Oct, 23:58SI Feed UCF Opponent Review: Why BYU is Coming to Orlando as the No. 2 Team in the Nation—
86. 19 Oct, 18:28SI Feed Game Time Announced For Arizona State Football at No. 2 BYU on Halloween—
87. 20 Oct, 13:30SI Feed What We Have Learned About BYU Football Through the First Half of the Season—
88. 21 Oct, 14:22SI Feed Key Matchup Data and Analytics That Give BYU an Edge Over UCF—
89. 21 Oct, 18:51SI Feed BYU Takes No. 1 Spot in Rece Davis' College Football Rankings After Week 7—
90. 22 Oct, 13:54CBS Sports Headlines College Football Playoff resume rankings: Big 12 pushing for multiple bids in 2026 bracket85%
91. 22 Oct, 16:13SI Feed What the Numbers Say About 6-0 BYU Football Compared to 2024 and 202586%▲1 points since the previous source
92. 22 Oct, 16:58CBS Sports Headlines Indiana, BYU, Utah among top-25 teams on upset alert in Week 886%
93. 23 Oct, 13:30SI Feed Week 8 College Football Results That Would Boost BYU's Playoff Odds84%▼2 points since the previous source
94. 23 Oct, 22:12SI Feed No. 2 BYU vs. UCF Game Preview and Final Score Prediction84%
95. 24 Oct, 10:00SI Feed How To Watch and Follow the UCF Knights as they Host No. 2 BYU86%▲2 points since the previous source
96. 24 Oct, 14:50SI Feed What the Predictive Models Say About BYU's Road Matchup Against UCF86%
97. 24 Oct, 16:23SI Feed ESPN College GameDay Crew Predicts Winner for Unbeaten BYU at UCF83%▼4 points since the previous source
98. 24 Oct, 23:31www.espn.com Follow live: No. 2 BYU looks to avoid upset in 2OT vs. UCF75%▼7 points since the previous source
99. 25 Oct, 00:19feeds.bleacherreport.com No. 2 BYU Upset by UCF as CFB Fans React to Chaotic Game, Top Box Score Stats & AP Poll Prediction76%▲1 points since the previous source
100. 25 Oct, 01:00SI Feed Big 12 Has a Big Decision to Make After UCF-BYU Game82%▲6 points since the previous source
101. 25 Oct, 06:14www.espn.com CFP top 12 projection: Utah salvages a bad day for Big 1266%▼16 points since the previous source
102. 25 Oct, 11:54CBS Sports Headlines Bowl projections: Slotting all 47 games as BYU, Texas Tech losses shake up CFP bracket after Week 866%
103. 25 Oct, 13:57CBS Sports Headlines Utah emerges as new Big 12 standard-bearer after outlasting Houston66%
104. 26 Oct, 13:02SI Feed Big 12 Football Power Rankings Entering Week 9 After BYU and Texas Tech Upsets63%▼3 points since the previous source
105. 26 Oct, 14:29SI Feed ESPN FPI Predicts BYU Bounce Back Against ASU and Updates Big 12 Title Odds63%
106. 26 Oct, 17:37SI Feed Potential Top 10 Holy War Between BYU and Utah Set for Morning Kickoff63%
107. 26 Oct, 21:08SI Feed Kenny Dillingham Talks To The Media Ahead of Trip to No. 8 BYU: 'You've Got To Prepare'63%
108. 27 Oct, 17:21SI Feed Everything No. 8 BYU, Head Coach Kalani Sitake Said About Arizona State, 2024 Revenge and More63%
NowCurrent odds63%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

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Kalshi 10+ wins 63% $0 24hends 20 Dec 2026
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Kalshi BYU 8% −3 $482 24hends 25 Jan 2027
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Kalshi BYU 1% $0 24hends 7 Feb 2027
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