NewsMarkets

Tech

Neuralink Exec Shivon Zilis Says Elon Musk Ended Relationship With No Warning

The executive states the split occurred abruptly, noting they went from being in love to letting go within a single week.

3 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

First reported by All Content from Business Insider, 1h 05m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2027
0%50%100%2%26 Sept, 03:08 UTCnowThe Verge: Breaking up (with Elon Musk) is hard to do · 2 Oct, 17:37 UTCAll Content from Business Insider: Who is Shivon Zilis? Meet the Elon Musk exec who said their relationship suddenly ended · 2 Oct, 17:47 UTCQuartz: Shivon Zilis says Elon Musk broke up with her with no warning · 2 Oct, 17:20 UTCAll Content from Business Insider: Neuralink exec Shivon Zilis posts that Elon Musk relationship ended 'with no warning' · 2 Oct, 16:15 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
1 Oct, 03:19 UTC2%
30 Sept, 15:39 UTC6%
29 Sept, 13:42 UTC7%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC2%
28 Sept, 01:03 UTC5%
26 Sept, 15:48 UTC7%
26 Sept, 15:15 UTC6%
26 Sept, 13:50 UTC2%
26 Sept, 03:08 UTC5%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 2 Oct 2026. All Content from Business Insider published first, on 2 October at 16:15 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 05m later. The most recent article, from All Content from Business Insider, appeared on 2 October at 17:47 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), All Content from Business Insider, Quartz.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 2%, with $26 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk ceases to be Tesla's CEO before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in that role through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the release date of the linked documentary for the resolution deadline.
  • Above $800 billion — the market puts it at 69%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $800 billion on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any financial report counts instead of only Forbes.
  • Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $125 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. All Content from Business InsiderNeuralink exec Shivon Zilis posts that Elon Musk relationship ended 'with no warning'2%
  2. QuartzShivon Zilis says Elon Musk broke up with her with no warning2%
  3. The VergeBreaking up (with Elon Musk) is hard to do2%
  4. All Content from Business InsiderWho is Shivon Zilis? Meet the Elon Musk exec who said their relationship suddenly ended2%
  5. Current odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Breaking up (with Elon Musk) is hard to do The Verge ·
  2. Who is Shivon Zilis? Meet the Elon Musk exec who said their relationship suddenly ended All Content from Business Insider
  3. Shivon Zilis says Elon Musk broke up with her with no warning Quartz
  4. Neuralink exec Shivon Zilis posts that Elon Musk relationship ended 'with no warning' All Content from Business Insider

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Before 2027 2% $26 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Above $800 billion 69% +7 $1k 24hends 31 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0% $125 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.