Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$797
Total volume$27.4M
Liquidity$1.6M
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →