Elon Musk
Implied probability 11%−1
24-hour volume$16
Total volume$46k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk holds the title of CEO for X before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not hold that title by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about pricing changes as a confirmation of his employment status.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%