Murkowski's Potential Promotion Challenges White House Funding Power

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. Politico Congress published first, on 9 November at 09:45 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Republican party — the market puts it at 69%, closing 7 Nov 2029. The outcome is Yes if a Republican senator takes office in Alaska for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the election date for the swearing-in date, but only the official oath-taking matters.
• Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? — the market puts it at 13%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Lisa Murkowski leaves or announces she is leaving the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on her official statements or a consensus of credible reporting regarding that specific action. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the effective date of the party switch, but only the announcement matters within the deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.