Republican party
Implied probability 64%−1
24-hour volume$13
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican senator takes office in Alaska for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the election date for the swearing-in date, but only the official oath-taking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%