Iowa's Blowout Win Over Washington Clears Path to College Football Playoff Hot: Odds moved 99 points in 24 hours
The Hawkeyes' dominant victory over Washington improves their record to 5-1 and strengthens their bid for a College Football Playoff berth.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 82% |
| 10 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 68% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 75% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 8+ wins respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 6 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 6 October at 14:30 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 96h 25m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 10 October at 14:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 87%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Iowa college football team secures at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
- Iowa — the market puts it at 99%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Iowa ranks in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll Week 7 Rankings for the 2026-27 season. The outcome depends solely on that specific poll release expected on October 11, 2026. Readers often mistake the blowout win over Washington as the deciding factor, but only the official ranking matters.
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 6%, with $148 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Washington college football team finishes the 2026 regular season with eight or more wins. It resolves to No if they finish with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 8+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedDefense Travels: How Iowa Football Exploits Advantages Against Washington71%
- SI FeedHow Iowa Football Gameplans Against Washington's Top Threats66%▼5 points since the previous source
- SI FeedIowa's Biggest Defensive Question vs Washington: How Long Can the Hawkeyes Hold?66%
- SI Feed3 Iowa Hawkeyes That Can Lead a Bounce-Back Win over the Washington Huskies66%
- SI FeedRespond, Rally, Resilient: Iowa Football's Keys to Victory Against Washington68%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedBiggest Winners of Iowa Football's Statement Win over Washington88%▲20 points since the previous source
- SI FeedHawkeye Dominance: What Went Right And Wrong In Iowa Football's Blowout of Washington81%▼7 points since the previous source
- SI FeedIowa Football Report Card: Honor Roll Hawks After Washington Romp81%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesIowa's blowout win at Washington clears path to College Football Playoff thanks to easy remaining schedule87%▲6 points since the previous source
- Current odds87%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Iowa's blowout win at Washington clears path to College Football Playoff thanks to easy remaining schedule CBS Sports Headlines
- Iowa Football Report Card: Honor Roll Hawks After Washington Romp SI Feed
- Hawkeye Dominance: What Went Right And Wrong In Iowa Football's Blowout of Washington SI Feed
- Biggest Winners of Iowa Football's Statement Win over Washington SI Feed
- Respond, Rally, Resilient: Iowa Football's Keys to Victory Against Washington SI Feed
- 3 Iowa Hawkeyes That Can Lead a Bounce-Back Win over the Washington Huskies SI Feed
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 8+ wins 87% +19
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iowa 99% +99
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 8+ wins 6% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Iowa
- Washington