8+ wins
Why it moved: −8 points at 15:08 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Iowa's blowout win at Washington clears path to College Football Playoff thanks to easy remaining schedule — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Washington college football team finishes the 2026 regular season with eight or more wins. It resolves to No if they finish with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%