Iowa
Why it moved: +99 points at 15:08 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Iowa's blowout win at Washington clears path to College Football Playoff thanks to easy remaining schedule — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Iowa ranks in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll Week 7 Rankings for the 2026-27 season. The outcome depends solely on that specific poll release expected on October 11, 2026. Readers often mistake the blowout win over Washington as the deciding factor, but only the official ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%