Trump signs sweeping Russia sanctions bill into law
The Lindsey Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act authorizes tariffs on top buyers of Russian energy, granting the president new powers amid bipartisan support.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Fox News Politics, 2h 24m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 56 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch China respond.
The story so far
17 publishers have covered this in 61 articles since 15 Sept 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 15 September at 00:07 UTC; The Hill News followed 2h 24m later. The most recent article, from kyivindependent.com, appeared on 24 September at 15:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Fox News World, kyivindependent.com, Times of India, Deutsche Welle and 5 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- China — the market puts it at 13%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
- Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 37%, with $111 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. Congress must pass legislation that overrides the presidential veto before January 20, 2029 for the outcome to be Yes. The deadline is the date of the new administration's inauguration, not the date of the veto itself. Readers often mistake the news headline about the White House backtracking as the final resolution, but only a successful congressional override counts.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? — the market puts it at 10%, with $32 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Ukraine signs a written agreement ending hostilities or establishing a path to peace by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The document must include an official signature from an authorized Ukrainian representative and apply to the broader conflict rather than a temporary or local arrangement. Readers often mistake unrelated sanctions bills or unsigned proposals for valid resolutions.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on China at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Fox News PoliticsHouse Dems face Trump tariff dilemma as major Russia sanctions bill heads to floor—
- The Hill NewsRussia sanctions bill passes House Rules Committee—
- AxiosHouse Democrats face divisions on Russian sanctions bill—
- The Guardian USUS lawmakers spar over bill giving Trump more power to sanction Russia—
- The HillTwo Democrats cross aisle to help tee up final vote on Russia sanctions bill—
- kyivindependent.comUS House advances Russia sanctions bill, paving way for final vote—
- The HillHouse passes Iran war powers resolution—
- Times of India100% tariffs on India? US House advances Russia sanctions bill; final vote tomorrow—
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: US bill sanctioning Russia could hit India with tariffs of up to 100%—
- Times of India100% tariff on India? Russia sanctions bill clears key hurdle, final House vote next—
Show 51 later sources
- Fox News PoliticsDemocrats begrudgingly hand Trump victory on tariffs in sprawling sanctions bill—
- AxiosHouse passes Russia sanctions bill—
- NPR PoliticsHouse passes Russia sanctions, sending bill named for Lindsey Graham to Trump's desk—
- The HillHouse passes Russia sanctions bill, sending it to Trump’s desk—
- CBS News PoliticsHouse passes Russia sanctions bill, overcoming Democratic opposition—
- kyivindependent.comUS House approves Graham's Russia sanctions bill—
- Times of IndiaUS House passes Russia sanctions bill; path cleared further for 100% tariffs on India—
- The Guardian USUS lawmakers pass bill giving Trump more power to sanction Russia and its enablers—
- South China Morning PostUS Congress passes bill targeting Russia’s leading energy buyers – China and India—
- News FeedUS lawmakers pass Russia sanctions bill—
- Deutsche WelleUS Congress passes Russia sanctions bill—
- Roll CallRobust House majority backs sanctions on Russia and Iran—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCongress passes sweeping US sanctions bill targeting Russia—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Explosions shake Kyiv as US Congress advances new sanctions on Moscow—
- Times of India100% tariffs loom: Will US sanctions bill make India stop buying crude from Russia?—
- Times of IndiaUS senator's 'clean up your act' warning to India, China over Russia—
- Latest articlesIndia warns U.S. new tariffs to deter buyers of Russian oil could impact ties—
- Times of India‘Unfriendly action’: Russia blasts US sanctions bill, warns of fallout for Ukraine war—
- The Guardian US‘So many loopholes’: Democratic House leader Jeffries flags concerns over Russia sanctions bill – US politics live—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS Congress passes Russia sanctions bill—
- Times of India'Implications for ties': How India, Russia & China reacted to US sanctions Bill—
- South China Morning PostChina hits back as US Congress approves tariffs on top buyers of Russian energy—
- News FeedWarsh defies Trump’s calls for lower borrowing costs—
- Times of IndiaOil be damned: US Congress arms Trump with tariff gun, putting India & China in crosshairs—
- kyivindependent.com'Sanctions from Hell' — Can West finally choke off Kremlin's war machine?—
- kyivindependent.comTrump plans to sign Russia sanctions bill 'soon,' White House source says—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRussia, China veto UN mandate to monitor Iran sanctions—
- ABC NewsA sweeping US sanctions bill offers Ukraine new leverage on Russia—
- CBS News PoliticsTrump signs Russia sanctions bill championed by Graham—
- kyivindependent.comTrump signs sweeping Russia sanctions bill into law—
- The Guardian BusinessTrump signs bill imposing sanctions on Russia and giving him more power to levy tariffs—
- Times of IndiaTrump signs Russia sanctions bill, gets power to impose up to 100% tariffs on India—
- South China Morning PostTrump signs bill targeting China’s Russia energy imports days before Xi’s US visit—
- Just In NewsTrump officially signs Russia sanctions bill into law—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump signs sweeping Russia sanctions over Ukraine war—
- Deutsche WelleTrump signs broad Russia sanctions bill—
- Times of IndiaTrump signs Russia sanctions bill: Will India actually face 100% tariff—
- Times of India‘We do not operate under pressure': Govt on Trump's Russia sanctions bill—
- Times of IndiaRussia should respond to US sanctions with 'military deterrence': Dmitry Medvedev—
- Times of India‘Resist him forcefully’: Congress hits back at Trump over Russia sanctions law—
- FortuneTrump signs Ukraine war sanctions bill that threatens up to 100% tariffs on the top five importers of Russian oil or gas, with some exceptions—
- Times of IndiaReplacing Russian barrels may hike costs as Trump signs Russia sanctions bill—
- Fox News WorldWaltz delivers blunt warning to nations defying Iran sanctions, touts Greenland deal—
- Times of IndiaRussia was building sanctions-proof ties with Iran before US attacked: Report—
- kyivindependent.comCampaign for Putin, be a star in Washington?—
- The HillCongress must repeal 1992 law hindering growth in the South Caucasus—
- South China Morning PostIndonesia presses ahead with Russian oil imports despite ‘real risk’ of US penalties8%
- kyivindependent.comTrump says he'll use Graham bill's Russia sanctions 'if necessary'8%
- Times of IndiaEAM Jaishankar meets Rubio, flags India's concerns over Russia sanctions law7%▼1 points since the previous source
- kyivindependent.comWhat Trump’s tariffs could mean for Russia and China7%
- kyivindependent.comWashington attempts dealmaking, Moscow sticks with warmaking7%
- Current odds13%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Congress must repeal 1992 law hindering growth in the South Caucasus The Hill ·
- Trump signs sweeping Russia sanctions over Ukraine war Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump officially signs Russia sanctions bill into law Just In News ·
- Trump signs bill imposing sanctions on Russia and giving him more power to levy tariffs The Guardian Business ·
- Trump signs Russia sanctions bill championed by Graham CBS News Politics ·
- A sweeping US sanctions bill offers Ukraine new leverage on Russia ABC News ·
Show 55 more sources
- Russia, China veto UN mandate to monitor Iran sanctions Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Warsh defies Trump’s calls for lower borrowing costs News Feed ·
- ‘So many loopholes’: Democratic House leader Jeffries flags concerns over Russia sanctions bill – US politics live The Guardian US ·
- Congress passes sweeping US sanctions bill targeting Russia Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US lawmakers pass Russia sanctions bill News Feed ·
- US lawmakers pass bill giving Trump more power to sanction Russia and its enablers The Guardian US ·
- House passes Russia sanctions bill, overcoming Democratic opposition CBS News Politics ·
- House passes Russia sanctions bill, sending it to Trump’s desk The Hill ·
- House passes Russia sanctions, sending bill named for Lindsey Graham to Trump's desk NPR Politics ·
- House passes Russia sanctions bill Axios ·
- House passes Iran war powers resolution The Hill ·
- Two Democrats cross aisle to help tee up final vote on Russia sanctions bill The Hill ·
- US lawmakers spar over bill giving Trump more power to sanction Russia The Guardian US ·
- House Democrats face divisions on Russian sanctions bill Axios ·
- Russia sanctions bill passes House Rules Committee The Hill News ·
- Washington attempts dealmaking, Moscow sticks with warmaking kyivindependent.com
- What Trump’s tariffs could mean for Russia and China kyivindependent.com
- EAM Jaishankar meets Rubio, flags India's concerns over Russia sanctions law Times of India
- Trump says he'll use Graham bill's Russia sanctions 'if necessary' kyivindependent.com
- Indonesia presses ahead with Russian oil imports despite ‘real risk’ of US penalties South China Morning Post
- Campaign for Putin, be a star in Washington? kyivindependent.com
- Russia was building sanctions-proof ties with Iran before US attacked: Report Times of India
- Waltz delivers blunt warning to nations defying Iran sanctions, touts Greenland deal Fox News World
- Replacing Russian barrels may hike costs as Trump signs Russia sanctions bill Times of India
- Trump signs Ukraine war sanctions bill that threatens up to 100% tariffs on the top five importers of Russian oil or gas, with some exceptions Fortune
- ‘Resist him forcefully’: Congress hits back at Trump over Russia sanctions law Times of India
- Russia should respond to US sanctions with 'military deterrence': Dmitry Medvedev Times of India
- ‘We do not operate under pressure': Govt on Trump's Russia sanctions bill Times of India
- Trump signs Russia sanctions bill: Will India actually face 100% tariff Times of India
- Trump signs broad Russia sanctions bill Deutsche Welle
- Trump signs bill targeting China’s Russia energy imports days before Xi’s US visit South China Morning Post
- Trump signs Russia sanctions bill, gets power to impose up to 100% tariffs on India Times of India
- Trump signs sweeping Russia sanctions bill into law kyivindependent.com
- Trump plans to sign Russia sanctions bill 'soon,' White House source says kyivindependent.com
- 'Sanctions from Hell' — Can West finally choke off Kremlin's war machine? kyivindependent.com
- Oil be damned: US Congress arms Trump with tariff gun, putting India & China in crosshairs Times of India
- China hits back as US Congress approves tariffs on top buyers of Russian energy South China Morning Post
- 'Implications for ties': How India, Russia & China reacted to US sanctions Bill Times of India
- US Congress passes Russia sanctions bill France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- ‘Unfriendly action’: Russia blasts US sanctions bill, warns of fallout for Ukraine war Times of India
- India warns U.S. new tariffs to deter buyers of Russian oil could impact ties Latest articles
- US senator's 'clean up your act' warning to India, China over Russia Times of India
- 100% tariffs loom: Will US sanctions bill make India stop buying crude from Russia? Times of India
- Live: Explosions shake Kyiv as US Congress advances new sanctions on Moscow France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Robust House majority backs sanctions on Russia and Iran Roll Call
- US Congress passes Russia sanctions bill Deutsche Welle
- US Congress passes bill targeting Russia’s leading energy buyers – China and India South China Morning Post
- US House passes Russia sanctions bill; path cleared further for 100% tariffs on India Times of India
- US House approves Graham's Russia sanctions bill kyivindependent.com
- Democrats begrudgingly hand Trump victory on tariffs in sprawling sanctions bill Fox News Politics
- 100% tariff on India? Russia sanctions bill clears key hurdle, final House vote next Times of India
- India news: US bill sanctioning Russia could hit India with tariffs of up to 100% Deutsche Welle
- 100% tariffs on India? US House advances Russia sanctions bill; final vote tomorrow Times of India
- US House advances Russia sanctions bill, paving way for final vote kyivindependent.com
- House Dems face Trump tariff dilemma as major Russia sanctions bill heads to floor Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi China 13% +6
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- Kalshi Before Jan 20, 2029 37% +2
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- Polymarket Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? 10% +1
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Lindsey Graham
- Russia
- Ukraine
- Hakeem Jeffries