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EU Presses China on Trade Imbalance Amid $1.2 Trillion Surplus

The European Commission demands progress by next month to address the widening trade imbalance, raising the possibility of new protectionist policies.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 24 Sept 2026 · updated 2h ago

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi By 2030 18% +4 $36 24hends 1 Jan 2030

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    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Below $240 billion 8% $0 24hends 4 Feb 2027

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    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi China 7% $35 24hends 1 Jan 2027

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    Wrong market?

How the odds moved · By 2030
0%50%100%18%22 Sept, 14:24 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: The China Trade Problem That Tariffs Alone Can't Fix · 26 Sept, 12:02 UTCSouth China Morning Post: China’s industrial strengths must also benefit its trading partners · 24 Sept, 21:30 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now18%
26 Sept, 06:32 UTC18%
26 Sept, 01:37 UTC14%
25 Sept, 16:04 UTC17%
25 Sept, 04:56 UTC14%
23 Sept, 17:59 UTC13%
23 Sept, 17:11 UTC14%
23 Sept, 14:40 UTC18%
22 Sept, 14:24 UTC17%

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Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. The China Trade Problem That Tariffs Alone Can't Fix Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. China’s industrial strengths must also benefit its trading partners South China Morning Post

In this story

  • China
  • European Commission
  • Michael Froman

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