DoJ Seeks Charges Against Ex-Trump Aide Cassidy Hutchinson Over Jan 6 Testimony Hot: Odds moved 20 points in 24 hours
Prosecutors are pursuing criminal charges for lying to Congress against the former aide who testified about Donald Trump's actions during the Capitol attack.
First reported by The Guardian US, 2h 33m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 35% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 9% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Cassidy Hutchinson respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 8 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 8 October at 19:06 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 2h 34m later. The most recent article, from Washington Post, appeared on 8 October at 21:41 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Cassidy Hutchinson — the market puts it at 29%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Cassidy Hutchinson is formally charged with a federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such charge occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the news headline for a formal charge, but only an official indictment or criminal complaint counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Cassidy Hutchinson at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian USDoJ seeks to charge ex-Trump aide who gave key testimony on January 6 attack9%
- CBS News PoliticsDOJ trying to indict former Mark Meadows aide Cassidy Hutchinson35%▲26 points since the previous source
- Washington PostDOJ grand jury investigating former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson35%
- Current odds29%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Cassidy Hutchinson 29% +20
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In this story
- Cassidy Hutchinson
- Donald Trump
- DoJ