Cruz Warns Texans Will Be Hurt After Democratic Gains in Texas Hot: $734k traded on its market in 24 hours
Senator Ted Cruz warns that Texans will suffer consequences following the Democratic party's recent electoral victories in the state.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 82% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 77% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 13:25 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 64% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 64% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 64% |
| 1 Nov, 08:54 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 64% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Oct, 11:39 UTC | 56% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 5 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 5 November at 01:59 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 2h 04m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 5 November at 04:03 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate? — the market puts it at 99%, with $734k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. Democrats must win at least 235 House seats and 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the final certified results of those specific elections, not on polls or forecasts.
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 2%, with $13k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. Ted Cruz wins if he secures and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. The market resolves to No if he does not win or accept the nomination, regardless of any later replacements before election day.
- Ted Cruz — the market puts it at 2%, with $54 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz formally accepts the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake news reports of interest or speculation for an official acceptance.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate? 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Ted Cruz 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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