Bitcoin Miner Riot Signs $28 Billion AI Deal With Anthropic Hot: $59k traded on its market in 24 hours
Riot Platforms has agreed to a $28 billion lease with Anthropic, selling Bitcoin assets to fund the construction of new data centers for the AI company.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
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Price data
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Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 4 Nov 2026. Cointelegraph.com News published first, on 4 November at 18:47 UTC; CoinDesk followed 14h 49m later. The most recent article, from The Block, appeared on 6 November at 13:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), Cointelegraph.com News, The Block.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? — the market puts it at 19%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves based on the implied fully diluted valuation at the IPO price stated in the final prospectus filed with the SEC. Readers often mistake the opening stock price or preliminary price ranges for the official valuation, but only the final prospectus counts. The deadline is December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? — the market puts it at 15%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves based on the total gross proceeds from Anthropic's IPO as disclosed in its final SEC prospectus. The amount includes secondary sales if they are part of the IPO offering but excludes shares sold under any overallotment option or private placements. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a separate deal with Riot for actual IPO proceeds, which do not count toward this market.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? — the market puts it at 8%, with $59k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of at least $3.0 trillion for Anthropic on any date through December 31, 2026. If an IPO occurs, the resolution uses the official listing price and subsequent public market capitalization instead.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Cointelegraph.com NewsRiot shares surge on $28B AI lease as Hut 8 sinks on revenue miss66%
- CoinDeskBitcoin miner Riot could pay Anthropic 12% interest under $28 billion AI deal62%▼4 points since the previous source
- CoinDeskGoogle could take stake in bitcoin miner TeraWulf’s $19 billion AI project if Anthropic defaults64%▲2 points since the previous source
- The BlockTeraWulf’s bitcoin mining revenue falls 69% as HPC leasing surges amid Anthropic buildout33%▼31 points since the previous source
- Current odds19%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Google could take stake in bitcoin miner TeraWulf’s $19 billion AI project if Anthropic defaults CoinDesk ·
- Bitcoin miner Riot could pay Anthropic 12% interest under $28 billion AI deal CoinDesk ·
- TeraWulf’s bitcoin mining revenue falls 69% as HPC leasing surges amid Anthropic buildout The Block
- Riot shares surge on $28B AI lease as Hut 8 sinks on revenue miss Cointelegraph.com News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? 19% −47
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? 15% −12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? 8% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Riot
- Anthropic
- Hut 8