Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Implied probability 22%−1
24-hour volume$90k
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$48k
Resolves5 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 17% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 26% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 27% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of at least $3.0 trillion for Anthropic on any date through December 31, 2026. If an IPO occurs, the resolution uses the official listing price and subsequent public market capitalization instead.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 79%
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