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Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

Implied probability 64%+20
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$36k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
How the odds moved · Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
0%50%100%64%17 Oct, 17:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now64%
24 Oct, 17:08 UTC64%
24 Oct, 16:54 UTC64%
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24 Oct, 12:18 UTC65%
24 Oct, 11:57 UTC66%
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24 Oct, 08:09 UTC64%
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24 Oct, 04:25 UTC61%
24 Oct, 03:51 UTC60%
24 Oct, 01:48 UTC56%
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24 Oct, 00:59 UTC47%
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20 Oct, 20:38 UTC43%
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18 Oct, 20:34 UTC43%
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18 Oct, 18:36 UTC50%
18 Oct, 18:22 UTC50%
18 Oct, 17:52 UTC49%
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18 Oct, 06:09 UTC35%
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18 Oct, 04:43 UTC33%
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18 Oct, 03:23 UTC28%
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17 Oct, 23:58 UTC30%
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17 Oct, 17:28 UTC30%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves based on the implied fully diluted valuation at the IPO price stated in the final prospectus filed with the SEC. Readers often mistake the opening stock price or preliminary price ranges for the official valuation, but only the final prospectus counts. The deadline is December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 64%
  • No 36%

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