Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 10:56 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 20:42 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 13:30 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 10:32 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 10:32 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves based on the total gross proceeds from Anthropic's IPO as disclosed in its final SEC prospectus. The amount includes secondary sales if they are part of the IPO offering but excludes shares sold under any overallotment option or private placements. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a separate deal with Riot for actual IPO proceeds, which do not count toward this market.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%
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