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Strait of Hormuz

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Markets on Strait of Hormuz

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Strait of Hormuz each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

10 0 15 Oct: 9 articles 16 Oct: 8 articles 17 Oct: 7 articles 18 Oct: 4 articles 19 Oct: 9 articles 20 Oct: 10 articles 21 Oct: 7 articles 22 Oct: 10 articles 23 Oct: 4 articles 24 Oct: 0 articles 25 Oct: 0 articles 26 Oct: 0 articles 27 Oct: 0 articles 28 Oct: 0 articles 15 Oct22 Oct28 Oct
68 articles in 14 days, per day.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

How the odds moved · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
0%50%100%7%16 Oct, 20:48 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
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Stories

Iran War Escalates as US Blockade Hits Oil Exports and IRGC Vows Offensive Doctrine Hot: $78k traded on its market in 24 hours

Tensions rise as Iran unveils an offensive military doctrine while US naval blockades empty its oil terminals and disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

world 30 sources

Polymarket Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? 3%

Iran and US Clash Over Control of Strait of Hormuz Amid Ship Attacks

Tensions escalate as Iran claims control of the Strait of Hormuz following attacks on vessels, while Qatar and France urge dialogue to restore navigation.

world 23 sources

Polymarket US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? 7%