Hurricane Isaias Strengthens to Major Status Ahead of US Gulf Coast Landfall Hot: Odds moved 51 points in 24 hours
The storm reaches major hurricane status with 105 kt winds as it approaches the Florida Panhandle and Alabama coast.
Kalshi Isaias 99%National Hurricane Center
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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about National Hurricane Center each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 92% |
| 9 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 97% |
| 9 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 94% |
| 9 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 83% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 75% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Oct, 06:38 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 74% |
| 9 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 81% |
| 9 Oct, 03:40 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 54% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 54% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 43% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 38% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 39% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 38% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 48% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 42% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 48% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 54% |
| 7 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 70% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 70% |
| 7 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 72% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 69% |
| 7 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 70% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 69% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 72% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 0% |
Stories
Tropical Storm Rachel Weakens as Watches Issued for Southern California and Baja California
The National Hurricane Center reports Tropical Storm Rachel has weakened to 50 mph winds while moving northeast, prompting watches for coastal regions.
Kalshi Category 4 or above 1% −1Hurricane Simon Rapidly Intensifies as It Approaches Mexico's Coast Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours
The storm is forecast to become a dangerous major hurricane by Saturday while moving northwest toward the coast of Mexico.
Kalshi Category 4 or above 77% −4