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Markets on Iraq

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Iraq each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

11 0 13 Sept: 3 articles 14 Sept: 4 articles 15 Sept: 11 articles 16 Sept: 4 articles 17 Sept: 3 articles 18 Sept: 4 articles 19 Sept: 4 articles 20 Sept: 0 articles 21 Sept: 4 articles 22 Sept: 4 articles 23 Sept: 5 articles 24 Sept: 8 articles 25 Sept: 6 articles 26 Sept: 4 articles 13 Sept20 Sept26 Sept
64 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

How the odds moved · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
0%50%100%17%19 Sept, 22:22 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
26 Sept, 00:41 UTC17%
25 Sept, 22:40 UTC14%
25 Sept, 21:41 UTC14%
25 Sept, 20:11 UTC14%
25 Sept, 19:03 UTC14%
25 Sept, 17:27 UTC14%
25 Sept, 08:06 UTC14%
25 Sept, 02:59 UTC14%
25 Sept, 01:46 UTC14%
24 Sept, 17:42 UTC14%
24 Sept, 14:01 UTC14%
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24 Sept, 08:29 UTC14%
23 Sept, 21:23 UTC14%
23 Sept, 20:55 UTC14%
23 Sept, 20:27 UTC14%
23 Sept, 18:25 UTC14%
23 Sept, 17:59 UTC14%
22 Sept, 17:36 UTC14%
22 Sept, 15:40 UTC15%
22 Sept, 14:57 UTC14%
22 Sept, 09:36 UTC14%
21 Sept, 21:03 UTC16%
21 Sept, 20:27 UTC16%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC17%
20 Sept, 15:17 UTC18%
20 Sept, 03:07 UTC17%
19 Sept, 22:22 UTC15%

Stories

Iran War Disrupts Oil Trade, Strains Regional Economies and Aviation Hot: $758k traded on its market in 24 hours

Ongoing conflict between Iran and the US disrupts oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, strains Iraq's economy and triggers US sanctions on Iranian airlines.

world 21 sources

Polymarket Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 17% +3