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Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability 55%+15
24-hour volume$813
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
0%50%100%55%14 Sept, 10:40 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now55%
18 Sept, 00:50 UTC55%
18 Sept, 00:10 UTC55%
17 Sept, 23:51 UTC55%
17 Sept, 23:29 UTC55%
17 Sept, 22:56 UTC55%
17 Sept, 22:21 UTC53%
17 Sept, 21:54 UTC53%
17 Sept, 21:18 UTC52%
17 Sept, 20:59 UTC50%
17 Sept, 20:28 UTC51%
17 Sept, 18:43 UTC50%
17 Sept, 18:22 UTC50%
17 Sept, 17:27 UTC50%
17 Sept, 16:25 UTC50%
17 Sept, 15:58 UTC50%
17 Sept, 15:24 UTC50%
17 Sept, 14:57 UTC46%
17 Sept, 12:35 UTC41%
17 Sept, 12:28 UTC39%
17 Sept, 11:42 UTC42%
17 Sept, 10:55 UTC44%
17 Sept, 10:29 UTC47%
17 Sept, 09:30 UTC50%
17 Sept, 08:38 UTC50%
17 Sept, 08:19 UTC45%
17 Sept, 07:59 UTC45%
17 Sept, 07:28 UTC36%
17 Sept, 06:37 UTC37%
17 Sept, 05:39 UTC36%
17 Sept, 05:12 UTC36%
17 Sept, 04:55 UTC43%
17 Sept, 04:11 UTC34%
17 Sept, 03:10 UTC32%
16 Sept, 14:38 UTC60%
16 Sept, 14:22 UTC62%
16 Sept, 13:57 UTC60%
16 Sept, 13:28 UTC60%
16 Sept, 12:40 UTC60%
16 Sept, 11:54 UTC64%
16 Sept, 11:26 UTC66%
16 Sept, 09:12 UTC64%
16 Sept, 08:28 UTC63%
16 Sept, 07:50 UTC63%
16 Sept, 07:29 UTC61%
16 Sept, 06:54 UTC63%
16 Sept, 06:24 UTC62%
16 Sept, 05:56 UTC63%
16 Sept, 04:50 UTC56%
16 Sept, 03:58 UTC55%
16 Sept, 03:27 UTC55%
16 Sept, 02:45 UTC56%
16 Sept, 02:14 UTC55%
16 Sept, 01:53 UTC55%
16 Sept, 00:00 UTC54%
15 Sept, 21:22 UTC53%
15 Sept, 19:43 UTC52%
15 Sept, 18:29 UTC52%
15 Sept, 16:10 UTC52%
15 Sept, 15:54 UTC51%
15 Sept, 15:26 UTC52%
15 Sept, 14:34 UTC50%
15 Sept, 14:25 UTC52%
15 Sept, 12:19 UTC49%
15 Sept, 11:55 UTC48%
15 Sept, 11:23 UTC47%
15 Sept, 10:48 UTC47%
14 Sept, 10:40 UTC60%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 55%
  • No 45%

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