Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
Implied probability 24%−3
24-hour volume$363
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$888
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 21:44 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 23% |
| 12 Sept, 20:38 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 20:14 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 23% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 23% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 24% |
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%
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