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Markets on Hamas

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Hamas each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

44 0 24 Sept: 44 articles 25 Sept: 30 articles 26 Sept: 4 articles 27 Sept: 13 articles 28 Sept: 14 articles 29 Sept: 17 articles 30 Sept: 16 articles 1 Oct: 8 articles 2 Oct: 5 articles 3 Oct: 10 articles 4 Oct: 6 articles 5 Oct: 7 articles 6 Oct: 9 articles 7 Oct: 23 articles 24 Sept1 Oct7 Oct
206 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

How the odds moved · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
0%50%100%14%6 Oct, 08:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC14%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC13%
6 Oct, 20:30 UTC12%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC11%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC11%
6 Oct, 10:25 UTC10%
6 Oct, 09:48 UTC10%
6 Oct, 09:08 UTC11%
6 Oct, 08:04 UTC12%

Stories

Netanyahu Faces Reckoning Over Oct. 7 Warnings Ahead of Israeli Election Hot: $170k traded on its market in 24 hours

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces intense scrutiny and political pressure as reports emerge that he was warned about the October 7 attacks before they occurred.

politics 24 sources

Polymarket Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 37% +1

Israelis mark Oct. 7 anniversary as Gaza trauma and West Bank violence persist

As Israelis commemorate the Oct. 7 attacks, reports highlight ongoing devastation in Gaza and escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank.

world 18 sources

Polymarket Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? 14% +4