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How much the press wrote about Binance each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 31 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 15% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 15% |
| 31 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 14% |
Disappointing tech earnings and a Binance hack trigger a market plunge that erases nearly $1tn from the Nasdaq in a week.
Kalshi Before Nov 1, 2026 3%Disappointing earnings from Amazon and Intel have intensified investor concerns over the sustainability of massive artificial intelligence spending, driving a broad selloff in technology shares.
Polymarket Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 15% −2Investigators link the theft to a North Korean group, while partners freeze half the funds and the exchange promises customer reimbursement.
Bitcoin recovers above $81,000 following a dip triggered by tech earnings concerns and hawkish Federal Reserve signals, while markets digest reports of a major Binance hack.
Kalshi 80,000 to 84,999.99 14%Intel stock fell sharply after its revenue forecast missed estimates, driven by a PC slump and supply-chain issues, while Amazon shares also dropped on higher AI spending.
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