OpenAI
Why it moved: −3 points at 18:47 UTC, after Quartz: OpenAI schafft 200 weitere Arbeitsplätze in Dublin und erhöht damit sein Einstellungsversprechen auf 450 Stellen. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires a stake in any legal vehicle that primarily owns OpenAI's for-profit operating entity before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline or the specific definition of "legal vehicle".
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%