80,000 to 84,999.99
Implied probability 14%+1
24-hour volume$39k
Total volume$2.5M
Liquidity$2.5M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the simple average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI over sixty seconds before midnight EST on January 1, 2027, falls between $80,000 and $84,999.99. It resolves to No if that average is outside that range. Readers often mistake the current Bitcoin price for the resolution value instead of the specific CF Benchmarks average at the deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%