3 stories · 6 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about AWS each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Oct, 11:05 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 06:04 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 87% |
| 28 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 83% |
| 28 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 53% |
| 26 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 53% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 09:57 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 47% |
Amazon shares dropped after third-quarter results missed expectations, driven by a cautious holiday sales forecast despite strong AWS growth.
Resolved Above 1.56 million Yes 13h agoAmazon CEO Andy Jassy projects AWS will reach $1 trillion revenue, requiring massive capital expenditure on AI infrastructure that continues to pressure market valuations.
Azure revenue grew 48% and OpenAI deals contributed $10 billion, helping Microsoft beat profit expectations despite significant data center spending.
Polymarket Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 63% +1 Required. We use your browser's storage to remember this choice, your light or dark
setting and the topics you follow, and a sign-in cookie (nm_reader) only if you make a call
on a market. None of it is used for tracking.
Accept all also lets Google Analytics set cookies (_ga, _ga_*)
so we can count visits and see which pages are read. With Accept required, Google
Analytics sets no cookies, though Google may still receive a basic page-view signal without them.