Amazon Shares Slide After Q3 Earnings Miss Forecasts on Lower Christmas Sales Outlook Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours
The tech giant reported third-quarter earnings per share of $1.89, missing analyst expectations and causing shares to fall as much as 9% in after-market trading.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by News Feed, 1 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 90% |
| 29 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 89% |
| 28 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 85% |
| 28 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 90% |
| 26 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 89% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 88% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Prime Day respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 29 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 October at 20:25 UTC; Deadline followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from theinformation.com, appeared on 29 October at 20:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), Deadline, theinformation.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Prime Day — the market puts it at 97%, with $684 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if an Amazon representative mentions Prime Day during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. It resolves to No if they do not mention it in that specific setting. Readers often mistake the start date of the sales event for the resolution trigger, but only verbal confirmation on the call counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Prime Day at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- News FeedAmazon shares slide on lower Christmas sales forecast87%
- DeadlineAmazon Shares Fall After Q3 Results Miss Wall Street Forecasts As Big Tech Market Rout Continues87%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNo One Wanted These Amazon Earnings, Thill Says87%
- theinformation.comAmazon Web Services Accelerates as Ecommerce Store Slows on Prime Day Change81%▼6 points since the previous source
- Current odds97%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- No One Wanted These Amazon Earnings, Thill Says Bloomberg Technology ·
- Amazon shares slide on lower Christmas sales forecast News Feed ·
- Amazon Web Services Accelerates as Ecommerce Store Slows on Prime Day Change theinformation.com
- Amazon Shares Fall After Q3 Results Miss Wall Street Forecasts As Big Tech Market Rout Continues Deadline
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Prime Day 97% +10
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In this story
- Amazon
- Wall Street