Prime Day
Implied probability 89%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an Amazon representative mentions Prime Day during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. It resolves to No if they do not mention it in that specific setting. Readers often mistake the start date of the sales event for the resolution trigger, but only verbal confirmation on the call counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%