Amazon
Implied probability 99%+19
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves27 Jan 2027
Why it moved: +11 points at 22:50 UTC, after The Guardian Business: Amazon gives Wall Street mixed financial picture in earnings report — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 88% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any Rivian representative mentions Amazon during the upcoming Rivian earnings call or its Q&A session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for an Amazon-specific event rather than a statement made by Rivian.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%