Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$95k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
Microsoft must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026. The final ranking depends on verified financial data from trusted news sources rather than real-time fluctuations. Readers often mistake the date of the linked article for the resolution deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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