Video captures moment Brazil’s election result changed
Social media footage shows the precise moment the outcome of Brazil's presidential runoff began to shift.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 17% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 26 October at 05:01 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Lula da Silva, 0-3% — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lula da Silva wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff by a margin of 0% to 3%. It resolves to No if his victory margin exceeds 3% or if he loses the election. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amazon deforestation for the resolution criteria, but only the official election results determine the outcome.
- At least 54% — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Lula da Silva, 0-3% No 2h ago
The market favoured No at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved At least 54% No 2h ago
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?